Thursday, June 4, 2009

Minimum temperature

Accurate forecasts of temperature are vital for utility companies, for road authorities and for health forecasting

This graph shows how accurate our forecasts of minimum temperatures are for the next day ahead.

It shows the percentage of forecasts that are within 2 °C of the actual temperature recorded.

The accuracy of minimum temperature forecasts is lower than that for maximum temperature. This is because minimum temperature is more sensitive to variations in cloud cover, wind speed and wind direction and so is harder to predict.

Graph showing percentage of forecasts within two degrees Celsius of observation

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